Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 171.918231 188.177280 204.782849 222.981552 242.335851 262.275303 284.340828
2024-12-29 148.680819 173.379016 199.735108 229.828618 263.111403 298.671703 339.411734
2025-01-05 129.346259 160.094240 194.266550 234.749374 281.082021 332.144263 392.355626
2025-01-12 110.681392 145.189849 185.066270 233.960742 291.692932 357.099122 436.188743
2025-01-19 95.585225 132.587162 176.951360 233.102264 301.291426 380.450023 478.279192
2025-01-26 87.316026 127.229991 176.644778 240.896885 320.770312 415.359322 534.330097
2025-02-02 79.754173 121.834739 175.537905 247.134152 338.054601 447.669641 587.702928
2025-02-09 73.610190 117.564223 175.264050 253.962914 355.832745 480.609131 642.197902
2025-02-16 68.009245 113.400202 174.617217 259.921993 372.315486 511.990620 695.118983
2025-02-23 58.540723 102.819079 164.486566 252.597684 371.077796 520.759813 719.749091
2025-03-02 51.472868 94.998856 157.478968 248.835661 373.971766 534.410347 750.338633
2025-03-09 46.913430 90.500701 154.757631 250.608172 383.987193 557.134741 792.576676
2025-03-16 43.004308 86.756933 152.996985 253.764632 396.148284 583.206826 840.069255
2025-03-23 40.782070 85.539721 154.869175 262.104169 415.578897 619.215936 901.108406
2025-03-30 38.145688 83.368120 155.110997 267.994170 431.673435 651.034378 957.161633
2025-04-06 34.290966 78.693567 151.136828 267.395962 438.497346 670.414530 997.020244
2025-04-13 30.800850 74.277827 147.229151 266.603719 444.851630 689.104395 1036.087332
2025-04-20 29.506119 73.770261 149.555616 275.289455 464.948482 726.817413 1101.070904
2025-04-27 27.981544 72.659609 150.773164 282.216569 482.546240 761.278139 1162.049855
2025-05-04 26.692277 71.863586 152.417639 289.769607 501.114359 797.253472 1225.419090
2025-05-11 25.331657 70.778842 153.470081 296.348082 518.297942 831.475931 1286.755317
2025-05-18 21.812581 64.803316 145.630542 288.293417 513.285568 834.270392 1304.909431
2025-05-25 19.234330 60.487106 140.396996 284.154363 513.923441 844.900300 1333.818674